Rays at Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

The Tampa Bay Rays (36-31) battle the Boston Red Sox (33-36) in the rubber match of their 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Rays vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 3-2

After a 10-8 extra-inning win in Monday’s opener, Tampa Bay had its 2-game winning streak snapped on Tuesday with a 3-1 loss against the Red Sox. The Rays were held to just 3 hits in the loss while 1B Yandy Diaz had the team’s only RBI with a fifth-inning single.

Boston has won 3 of its last 4 games after Tuesday’s win while covering as a -108 home favorite. RF Roman Anthony led the offense with 2 RBIs on double in the first inning.

Rays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Zack Littell vs. RHP Walker Buehler

Littell (6-5, 3.68 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 5.8 K/9 through 80 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 4 K in 4-3 home win against Miami Marlins Friday
• Career vs. Red Sox: 2-1, 2.45 ERA (25 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 8.4 K/9 in 5 games (4 starts)

Buehler (4-4, 5.18 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 48 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 2 IP, 5 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 9-6 road loss against New York Yankees Friday
• Career vs. Rays: 1-0, 3.60 ERA (5 IP, 2 ER), 1.20 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 in 1 start

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Rays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Rays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Red Sox -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rays -1.5 (+150) | Red Sox +1.5 (-185)
• Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Rays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Rays 2

BET RED SOX (-115).

While the Rays are 7-3 over their last 10 games, they are 1-2 in their last 3 on the road.

The Red Sox have won 3 of their last 4 games, scoring 8 or more runs 3 times. They have scored at least 6 runs in 6 of their last 8 games and have gained significant momentum with Anthony in the lineup. While Wednesday has the makings of a potential pitching duel, the Sox have the advantage at home.

PASS.

There is no value on the Red Sox spread in this matchup.

BET UNDER 10 (-120).

The Rays have scored 4 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6 games while allowing 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6 contests. They have hit the Under in 4 of their last 6 games and in 6 of their last 9 contests.

The Red Sox have scored 3 or fewer runs in 3 of the last 3 meetings against the Rays. They have allowed just 1 total run in 2 of their last 3 games.

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